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Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 24 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 10:30

Jeonnam Dragons

PPG 1.12 · HOME

LAST 5

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1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Cheonan City

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-18.6%0-26.1%0-32.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.3%1-111.9%1-28.5%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.7%2-18.2%2-25.9%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.6%3-13.8%3-22.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.3% 42.0% 2.38 -6.5%

Draw 24.7% 29.0% 3.45 -8.9%

Away win 36.0% 37.7% 2.65 -4.6%

Over 2.5 53.5% 57.8% 1.73 -7.4%

Over 3.5 31.6% 36.4% 2.75 -13.1%

BTTS 55.0% 64.5% 1.55 -14.8%

Home O1.5 38.4% 47.6% 2.10 -19.4%

Away O1.5 40.9% 44.4% 2.25 -8.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.0%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2 8.5%

#4 1–0✓ 8.3%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeonnam Dragons1.4

Cheonan City1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JEONNAM DRAGONS · PPG 1.12

CHEONAN CITY · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jeonnam Dragons (H) 39.3%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -6.5%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -8.9%

Cheonan City (A) 36.0%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -4.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeonnam Dragons face Cheonan City in South Korea - K League 2 on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeonnam Dragons a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Cheonan City 36%, so Jeonnam Dragons are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.4 for Cheonan City (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeonnam Dragons are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 0.82 for Cheonan City. This match finished 1-0.

Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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