Today / South Korea - K League 2 / Gimpo Citizen vs Suwon Bluewings

Gimpo Citizen vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 24 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 10:30

Gimpo Citizen

PPG 1.14 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWDL

1 – 4

FULL TIME

Suwon Bluewings

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-113.7%0-28.0%0-33.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.4%1-113.4%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.6%2-16.5%2-23.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.8%3-12.1%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% 32.3% 3.10 +9.4%

Draw 27.7% 30.3% 3.30 -5.1%

Away win 37.0% 46.5% 2.15 -20.4%

Over 2.5 44.8% 51.8% 1.93 -13.5%

Over 3.5 25.6% 29.9% 3.35 -8.5%

BTTS 49.2% 58.8% 1.70 -16.4%

Home O1.5 30.9% 35.7% 2.80 -13.5%

Away O1.5 33.0% 46.5% 2.15 -29.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.2%

A 37% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 0–0 11.7%

#4 0–1 13.7%

#5 2–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimpo Citizen1.0

Suwon Bluewings1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMPO CITIZEN · PPG 1.14

SUWON BLUEWINGS · PPG 2.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.19, combined xG 2.15 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gimpo Citizen (H) 35.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +9.4%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.1%

Suwon Bluewings (A) 37.0%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -20.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimpo Citizen face Suwon Bluewings in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimpo Citizen a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Suwon Bluewings 37%, so Suwon Bluewings are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gimpo Citizen and 1.2 for Suwon Bluewings (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimpo Citizen are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 2.00 for Suwon Bluewings. This match finished 1-4.

Gimpo Citizen vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More South Korea - K League 2 Predictions