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Seongnam FC vs Seoul E-Land FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 24 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 10:30

Seongnam FC

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLWD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Seoul E-Land FC

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-112.0%0-28.2%0-33.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.4%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.0%2-16.8%2-24.6%2-32.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.8%3-12.4%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.1% 33.3% 3.00 -6.7%

Draw 26.7% 31.3% 3.20 -8.7%

Away win 42.2% 44.4% 2.25 -5.1%

Over 2.5 50.5% 51.3% 1.95 -1.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.9% 3.35 -2.3%

BTTS 52.7% 58.8% 1.70 -10.4%

Home O1.5 30.9% 36.4% 2.75 -15.0%

Away O1.5 40.9% 45.5% 2.20 -10.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.7%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.8%

#2 0–1 12.0%

#3 0–0 8.8%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 1–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seongnam FC1.1

Seoul E-Land FC1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SEONGNAM FC · PPG 1.40

SEOUL E-LAND FC · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.29, combined xG 2.42 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Seongnam FC (H) 31.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -6.7%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.7%

Seoul E-Land FC (A) 42.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seongnam FC face Seoul E-Land FC in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seongnam FC a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Seoul E-Land FC 42%, so Seoul E-Land FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Seongnam FC and 1.4 for Seoul E-Land FC (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seongnam FC are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.91 for Seoul E-Land FC. This match finished 1-1.

Seongnam FC vs Seoul E-Land FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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