Today / South Korea - K League 2 / Jeonnam vs Asan

Jeonnam vs Asan Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, July 18, 2026, 10:30

Jeonnam

PPG 0.50 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Asan

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.5% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-111.4%0-29.4%0-35.2%0-4+3.1%1 1-07.1%1-111.7%1-29.6%1-35.3%1-4+3.2%2 2-03.6%2-16.0%2-24.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.2%3-12.0%3-21.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.9% 39.2% 2.55 -23.4%

Draw 24.7% 29.9% 3.35 -10.3%

Away win 51.4% 40.0% 2.50 +28.5%

Over 2.5 55.1% 55.6% 1.80 -0.8%

Over 3.5 35.1% 33.3% 3.00 +5.3%

BTTS 55.5% 61.7% 1.62 -10.1%

Home O1.5 35.6% 43.5% 2.30 -18.1%

Away O1.5 50.2% 44.4% 2.25 +13.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.5%

A 51% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 0–1 11.4%

#3 1–2 9.6%

#4 0–2 9.4%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeonnam1.0

Asan1.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JEONNAM · PPG 0.50

ASAN · PPG 1.29

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.29) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Jeonnam (H) 23.9%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -23.4%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -10.3%

Asan (A) 51.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +28.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeonnam face Asan in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeonnam a 24% chance, the draw 25% and Asan 51%, so Asan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Jeonnam and 1.6 for Asan (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeonnam are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.29 for Asan. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +28.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Jeonnam vs Asan Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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