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Gyeongju W vs Sejong W Prediction— South-Korea

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Gyeongju W

PPG 0.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sejong W

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Caution: Away form (1.43) strong but model favors Home (P=45.7%)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-19.5%0-25.4%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.2%1-112.8%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.5%2-18.6%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.4%3-13.9%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.7% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.2% — — —

Over 3.5 29.0% — — —

BTTS 53.6% — — —

Home O1.5 41.1% — — —

Away O1.5 36.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 20%

Score Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.6%

H 46% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.3%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gyeongju W1.3

Sejong W1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GYEONGJU W · PPG 0.57

SEJONG W · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

48%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.43) strong but model favors Home (P=45.7%)

Win probability 1X2

Gyeongju W (H) 45.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sejong W (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gyeongju W face Sejong W in South-Korea on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gyeongju W a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Sejong W 28%, so Gyeongju W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Gyeongju W and 1.1 for Sejong W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gyeongju W are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.43 for Sejong W.

Gyeongju W vs Sejong W Prediction— South-Korea

Match Preview & Prediction

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