Today / South-Korea - K4 League / Seosan Pioneer vs Namyangju

Seosan Pioneer vs Namyangju Prediction— South-Korea - K4 League

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 07:00

Seosan Pioneer

PPG 0.86 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Namyangju

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.0% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-19.0%0-29.1%0-36.1%0-4+4.8%1 1-04.9%1-19.9%1-29.9%1-36.6%1-4+5.3%2 2-02.7%2-15.4%2-25.4%2-33.6%2-4+2.9%3 3-01.0%3-12.0%3-22.0%3-31.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.0% 29.4% 3.40 -13.1%

Draw 21.6% 31.3% 3.20 -18.5%

Away win 55.3% 52.4% 1.91 +5.6%

Over 2.5 60.0% 55.6% 1.80 +8.0%

Over 3.5 37.4% 36.5% 2.74 +2.5%

BTTS 59.9% 61.7% 1.62 -3.0%

Home O1.5 30.9% 33.6% 2.98 -7.9%

Away O1.5 56.9% 57.5% 1.74 -1.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 37.5%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob59.9%

A 55% / xG 1.1-2.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2✓ 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.1%

#4 0–1 9.0%

#5 2–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seosan Pioneer1.1

Namyangju2.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.0% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOSAN PIONEER · PPG 0.86

NAMYANGJU · PPG 1.62

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.91 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Seosan Pioneer (H) 23.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -13.1%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -18.5%

Namyangju (A) 55.3%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV +5.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seosan Pioneer face Namyangju in South-Korea - K4 League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seosan Pioneer a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Namyangju 55%, so Namyangju are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Seosan Pioneer and 2.0 for Namyangju (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seosan Pioneer are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.62 for Namyangju. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Seosan Pioneer vs Namyangju Prediction— South-Korea - K4 League

Match Preview & Prediction

More South-Korea - K4 League Predictions