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Dianella WE vs O. Kingsway Prediction— Australia

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 18, 2026, 09:00

Dianella WE

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

O. Kingsway

PPG 2.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.6% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-16.8%0-26.5%0-34.2%0-4+3.1%1 1-05.0%1-19.6%1-29.3%1-35.9%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.6%2-16.8%2-26.6%2-34.2%2-4+3.2%3 3-01.7%3-13.2%3-23.1%3-32.0%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.6%4+-21.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.1% 33.3% 3.00 -3.7%

Draw 22.4% 26.7% 3.75 -9.6%

Away win 45.4% 51.3% 1.95 -11.5%

Over 2.5 65.6% 71.4% 1.40 -8.2%

Over 3.5 42.3% 52.4% 1.91 -19.2%

BTTS 63.5% 73.5% 1.36 -13.6%

Home O1.5 45.9% 50.0% 2.00 -8.2%

Away O1.5 50.2% 61.7% 1.62 -18.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.5%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 2–1 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dianella WE1.4

O. Kingsway1.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 42.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DIANELLA WE · PPG 1.44

O. KINGSWAY · PPG 2.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.22) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Dianella WE (H) 32.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -3.7%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -9.6%

O. Kingsway (A) 45.4%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -11.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dianella WE face O. Kingsway in Australia on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dianella WE a 32% chance, the draw 22% and O. Kingsway 45%, so O. Kingsway are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dianella WE and 1.9 for O. Kingsway (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dianella WE are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 2.22 for O. Kingsway.

Dianella WE vs O. Kingsway Prediction— Australia

Match Preview & Prediction

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