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Sutherland Sharks U20 vs SD Raiders U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 03:00

Sutherland Sharks U20

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDW

11 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

SD Raiders U20

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.3%0-23.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.3%1-19.0%1-26.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.5%2-19.3%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.5%3-16.4%3-24.5%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-15.4%4+-23.8%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 47.6% 2.10 +4.4%

Draw 21.6% 25.0% 4.00 -8.2%

Away win 28.7% 38.5% 2.60 -15.2%

Over 2.5 65.1% 71.4% 1.40 -8.9%

Over 3.5 43.5% 52.9% 1.89 -17.8%

BTTS 63.1% 75.8% 1.32 -16.7%

Home O1.5 59.6% 63.7% 1.57 -6.4%

Away O1.5 40.9% 53.2% 1.88 -23.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 11-3

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.1%

H 50% / xG 2.1-1.4 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2 6.4%

#4 2–0 6.5%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sutherland Sharks U202.1

SD Raiders U201.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SUTHERLAND SHARKS U20 · PPG 1.50

SD RAIDERS U20 · PPG 1.21

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sutherland Sharks U20 (H) 49.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +4.4%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -8.2%

SD Raiders U20 (A) 28.7%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -15.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sutherland Sharks U20 face SD Raiders U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sutherland Sharks U20 a 50% chance, the draw 22% and SD Raiders U20 29%, so Sutherland Sharks U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Sutherland Sharks U20 and 1.4 for SD Raiders U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sutherland Sharks U20 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.21 for SD Raiders U20. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +11.1%. This match finished 11-3.

Sutherland Sharks U20 vs SD Raiders U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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