Australia

AUSTRALIA · 8 MATCHES TRACKED · 11 JUL 2026 – 18 JUL 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 7 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

28.6%

1X2

2/7

71.4%

O/U 2.5

5/7

42.9%

BTTS

3/7

42.9%

Exact score

3/7

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

50.0%

Hit rate

1/2

1.53

Avg odds

-23.5%

ROI

-0.5u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.53 · +53.0% ROI

AWAY O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.53 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

100%

Hit

+53.0%

ROI

Match log

7 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

July 2026 // 7 PICKS · 4 HIT · 3 MISS

18 JUL Balcatta vs Stirling AO1.5 2–0 MISS 18 JUL Perth RedStar vs Fremantle City BTTS -15% 0–3 MISS 18 JUL Perth Glory B vs Armadale Over 2.5 -10% 2–2 HIT 18 JUL Dianella WE vs O. Kingsway Over 2.5 -8% 0–3 HIT 17 JUL Perth SC vs Western Knights Over 2.5 -9% 3–3 HIT 11 JUL Sorrento vs Fremantle City Over 2.5 0–2 MISS 11 JUL O. Kingsway vs Perth RedStar Over 2.5 +2% 1–2 HIT