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Perth Glory B vs Armadale Prediction— Australia

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 18, 2026, 07:00

Perth Glory B

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Armadale

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.7% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.8%0-22.7%0-31.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-03.4%1-16.5%1-26.2%1-34.0%1-4+3.0%2 2-03.9%2-17.5%2-27.2%2-34.6%2-4+3.4%3 3-03.0%3-15.7%3-25.5%3-33.5%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-15.7%4+-25.5%4+-33.5%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.5% 40.0% 2.50 +21.3%

Draw 21.5% 25.0% 4.00 -8.4%

Away win 30.0% 47.6% 2.10 -37.0%

Over 2.5 71.7% 80.0% 1.25 -10.4%

Over 3.5 49.2% 63.7% 1.57 -22.8%

BTTS 69.3% 80.0% 1.25 -13.4%

Home O1.5 62.9% 57.8% 1.73 +8.8%

Away O1.5 50.2% 65.4% 1.53 -23.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.3%

H 48% / xG 2.3-1.9 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%

#2 1–1 6.5%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.2%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Perth Glory B2.3

Armadale1.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PERTH GLORY B · PPG 0.88

ARMADALE · PPG 0.63

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.88), Away POOR (0.63)

Win probability 1X2

Perth Glory B (H) 48.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +21.3%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -8.4%

Armadale (A) 30.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -37.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Perth Glory B face Armadale in Australia on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Perth Glory B a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Armadale 30%, so Perth Glory B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Perth Glory B and 1.9 for Armadale (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Perth Glory B are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 0.63 for Armadale. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +22.8%.

Perth Glory B vs Armadale Prediction— Australia

Match Preview & Prediction

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