Today / Australia - NPL Northern NSW / Kahibah vs Cooks Hill United

Kahibah vs Cooks Hill United Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Matchday 22 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 04:00

Kahibah

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cooks Hill United

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.6% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-15.1%0-25.3%0-33.7%0-4+3.1%1 1-04.0%1-18.3%1-28.6%1-36.0%1-4+5.0%2 2-03.3%2-16.8%2-27.0%2-34.9%2-4+4.1%3 3-01.8%3-13.7%3-23.8%3-32.6%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.1%4+-22.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 50.0% 2.00 -30.2%

Draw 22.3% 24.4% 4.10 -5.1%

Away win 42.8% 36.4% 2.75 +17.7%

Over 2.5 65.6% 75.2% 1.33 -12.8%

Over 3.5 43.0% 56.8% 1.76 -24.3%

BTTS 63.3% 78.7% 1.27 -19.6%

Home O1.5 47.2% 65.4% 1.53 -27.8%

Away O1.5 54.7% 57.5% 1.74 -4.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.3%

A 43% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 1–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kahibah1.6

Cooks Hill United2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KAHIBAH · PPG 1.00

COOKS HILL UNITED · PPG 1.20

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kahibah (H) 34.9%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -30.2%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -5.1%

Cooks Hill United (A) 42.8%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +17.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kahibah face Cooks Hill United in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kahibah a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Cooks Hill United 43%, so Cooks Hill United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kahibah and 2.1 for Cooks Hill United (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kahibah are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Cooks Hill United. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +5.0%.

Kahibah vs Cooks Hill United Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - NPL Northern NSW Predictions