Today / Australia - NPL Northern NSW / Lambton Jaffas vs Hamilton Olympic
Lambton Jaffas vs Hamilton Olympic Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW
Matchday 22 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 04:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Model probability 61.6% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 48% / xG 1.7-1.6 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.7%
Form & verdict
LAMBTON JAFFAS · PPG 0.90
HAMILTON OLYMPIC · PPG 1.10
xG gap +0.17 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Lambton Jaffas face Hamilton Olympic in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lambton Jaffas a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Hamilton Olympic 29%, so Lambton Jaffas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lambton Jaffas and 1.6 for Hamilton Olympic (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lambton Jaffas are averaging 0.90 points per game versus 1.10 for Hamilton Olympic.