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Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown City Blues Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Matchday 22 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 04:00

Broadmeadow Magic

PPG 2.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Charlestown City Blues

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 80.3% vs bookmaker-implied 81.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.2%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.7%1-14.2%1-21.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.9%2-17.1%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-18.0%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-018.0%4+-116.1%4+-27.2%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.5% 78.1% 1.28 -2.1%

Draw 15.8% 16.7% 6.00 -3.1%

Away win 7.7% 16.0% 6.25 -31.1%

Over 2.5 71.6% 75.2% 1.33 -4.8%

Over 3.5 47.2% 54.9% 1.82 -14.1%

BTTS 54.5% 66.7% 1.50 -18.3%

Home O1.5 80.3% 81.3% 1.23 -1.2%

Away O1.5 23.6% 32.3% 3.10 -16.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 76% / xG 3.4-0.9 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.9%

#2 3–1 8.0%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 4–0 7.6%

#5 2–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Broadmeadow Magic3.4

Charlestown City Blues0.9

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BROADMEADOW MAGIC · PPG 2.10

CHARLESTOWN CITY BLUES · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.50 for Home, form 2.10 vs 0.70 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Broadmeadow Magic (H) 76.5%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -2.1%

Draw 15.8%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV -3.1%

Charlestown City Blues (A) 7.7%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV -31.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Broadmeadow Magic face Charlestown City Blues in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Broadmeadow Magic a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Charlestown City Blues 8%, so Broadmeadow Magic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Broadmeadow Magic and 0.9 for Charlestown City Blues (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Broadmeadow Magic are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 0.70 for Charlestown City Blues.

Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown City Blues Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Match Preview & Prediction

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