D. Minera vs Xerez D. FC Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Group 4 - 32 Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán· El Llano del Beal Sunday, April 19, 2026 10:00

D. Minera PPG 2.40

2-1 HIT CS4

Xerez D. FC PPG 0.87

Over2.5· +23.8% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Minera face Xerez D. FC in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Minera a 79% chance, the draw 15% and Xerez D. FC 7%, so D. Minera are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for D. Minera and 0.6 for Xerez D. FC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Minera are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 0.87 for Xerez D. FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 78.6%

Odds: 1.57 EV: +23.4%

Draw 14.6%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -51.1%

Away 6.8%

Odds: 5.25 EV: -64.3%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.6% Odds: 2.15 +23.8%

Over 3.5 35.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 4-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Minera

2.43

Xerez D. FC

0.57

Model SuggestionHome +23.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+23.8%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 75%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 15.0%

Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away POOR (0.87) - Strong consensus