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CD Extremadura vs La Union Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Group 4 - 33 Estadio Francisco de la Hera· Almendralejo Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00
CD Extremadura logo CD Extremadura PPG 2.44
4-2 MISS
La Union logo La Union PPG 1.13
Over2.5· +14.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

CD Extremadura face La Union in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CD Extremadura a 61% chance, the draw 23% and La Union 17%, so CD Extremadura are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for CD Extremadura and 0.9 for La Union (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CD Extremadura are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 1.13 for La Union. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 4-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.7%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -4.7%
Draw 22.5%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -21.3%
Away 16.8%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -16.0%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.90 +14.9%
Over 3.5 45.3% Odds: —
BTTS 57.9% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

CD Extremadura
2.57
La Union
0.88

Model Suggestion

Home -4.7% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 58%
ROI 15.0%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=60.7%

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