Real Jaen vs Puente Genil Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Jaen face Puente Genil in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Jaen a 72% chance, the draw 19% and Puente Genil 8%, so Real Jaen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Real Jaen and 0.5 for Puente Genil (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Jaen are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.71 for Puente Genil. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 2-1.