Recreativo H. vs Melilla Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Match Preview & Prediction

Recreativo H. face Melilla in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Recreativo H. a 73% chance, the draw 20% and Melilla 8%, so Recreativo H. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Recreativo H. and 0.4 for Melilla (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Recreativo H. are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 0.33 for Melilla. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +19.2%. This match finished 1-0.