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Antoniano vs Recreativo H. Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Group 4 - 33 Estadio Municipal· Lebrija Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00
Antoniano logo Antoniano PPG 2.06
2-0 HIT CS5
Recreativo H. logo Recreativo H. PPG 1.19
Home· +27.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Antoniano face Recreativo H. in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Antoniano a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Recreativo H. 28%, so Antoniano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Antoniano and 0.8 for Recreativo H. (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Antoniano are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.19 for Recreativo H.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +27.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.6%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +27.4%
Draw 33.3%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -0.1%
Away 28.1%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -42.4%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: 2.25 -14.5%
Over 3.5 12.7% Odds: —
BTTS 49.5% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Antoniano
1.07
Recreativo H.
0.84

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 58%
ROI 15.0%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=38.6%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org