Lorca Deportiva PPG 1.67
Yeclano PPG 0.75Lorca Deportiva face Yeclano in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lorca Deportiva a 47% chance, the draw 31% and Yeclano 22%, so Lorca Deportiva are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Lorca Deportiva and 0.6 for Yeclano (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lorca Deportiva are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.75 for Yeclano. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.7%. This match finished 2-2.
Based on 24 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=46.8%