Yeclano vs Almeria B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Group 4 - 32 Campo de la Constitucion· Yecla Sunday, April 19, 2026 16:30

Yeclano PPG 1.93

1-1 HIT CS5

Almeria B PPG 0.53

Home· -6.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Yeclano face Almeria B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yeclano a 75% chance, the draw 18% and Almeria B 7%, so Yeclano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Yeclano and 0.4 for Almeria B (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yeclano are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.53 for Almeria B. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 75.0%

Odds: 1.25 EV: -6.3%

Draw 18.4%

Odds: 4.40 EV: -19.0%

Away 6.6%

Odds: 12.00 EV: -20.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.2% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 21.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 28.6% Odds: 2.50 -28.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Yeclano

1.97

Almeria B

0.40

Model SuggestionHome -6.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -6.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 75%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 15.0%

Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.53) - Strong consensus