Today / Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 / Yeclano vs Almeria B

Yeclano vs Almeria B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Group 4 - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 16:30

Yeclano

PPG 1.93 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Almeria B

PPG 0.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 75.0% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-13.8%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-018.4%1-17.4%1-21.5%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-018.1%2-17.3%2-21.5%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.8%3-14.8%3-21.0%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-09.1%4+-13.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.0% 80.0% 1.25 -6.3%

Draw 18.4% 22.7% 4.40 -19.0%

Away win 6.6% 8.3% 12.00 -20.8%

Over 2.5 42.2% — — —

Over 3.5 21.5% — — —

BTTS 28.6% 40.0% 2.50 -28.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 10.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob28.6%

H 75% / xG 2.0-0.4 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.4%

#2 2–0 18.1%

#3 3–0 11.8%

#4 0–0 9.4%

#5 1–1✓ 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yeclano2.0

Almeria B0.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.2% · O3.5 PROB 21.5%

Form & verdict PPG

YECLANO · PPG 1.93

ALMERIA B · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.53) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Yeclano (H) 75.0%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -6.3%

Draw 18.4%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -19.0%

Almeria B (A) 6.6%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV -20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Yeclano face Almeria B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yeclano a 75% chance, the draw 18% and Almeria B 7%, so Yeclano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Yeclano and 0.4 for Almeria B (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yeclano are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.53 for Almeria B. This match finished 1-1.

Yeclano vs Almeria B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Match Preview & Prediction

More Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Predictions