← Back to picks

Xerez CD vs CD Extremadura Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Group 4 - 32 Estadio Municipal de Chapín· Jerez Sunday, April 19, 2026 16:00
Xerez CD logo Xerez CD PPG 2.13
0-0 HIT CS4
CD Extremadura logo CD Extremadura PPG 1.13
Home· +32.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Xerez CD face CD Extremadura in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Xerez CD a 56% chance, the draw 26% and CD Extremadura 17%, so Xerez CD are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Xerez CD and 0.7 for CD Extremadura (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Xerez CD are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.13 for CD Extremadura. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +32.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.5%
Odds: 2.35 EV: +32.8%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -24.0%
Away 17.1%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -48.7%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.8% Odds: 2.50 -8.0%
Over 3.5 17.4% Odds: —
BTTS 38.2% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Xerez CD
1.48
CD Extremadura
0.68

Model Suggestion

Home +32.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 58%
ROI 15.0%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=56.5%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org