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Hviti Riddarinn vs V. Olafsvik Prediction— Iceland

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, July 17, 2026, 20:00

Hviti Riddarinn

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

V. Olafsvik

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-15.6%0-22.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.4%1-110.5%1-25.3%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.8%2-19.9%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.2%3-16.2%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-14.5%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.9% — — —

Over 3.5 37.4% — — —

BTTS 55.5% — — —

Home O1.5 56.8% — — —

Away O1.5 31.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 11%

ROI 0.1%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.5%

H 53% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hviti Riddarinn1.9

V. Olafsvik1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HVITI RIDDARINN · PPG 1.60

V. OLAFSVIK · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=53.3%

Win probability 1X2

Hviti Riddarinn (H) 53.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

V. Olafsvik (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hviti Riddarinn face V. Olafsvik in Iceland on Friday, July 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hviti Riddarinn a 53% chance, the draw 23% and V. Olafsvik 24%, so Hviti Riddarinn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hviti Riddarinn and 1.0 for V. Olafsvik (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hviti Riddarinn are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.67 for V. Olafsvik.

Hviti Riddarinn vs V. Olafsvik Prediction— Iceland

Match Preview & Prediction

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