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Dalvik.Reynir vs Fjolnir Prediction— Iceland

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, July 12, 2026, 16:00

Dalvik.Reynir

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fjolnir

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.2% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-13.1%0-21.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.3%1-17.6%1-24.6%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.7%2-19.3%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.3%3-17.6%3-24.6%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-18.3%4+-25.0%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.0% 44.4% 2.25 +32.8%

Draw 21.4% 29.4% 3.40 -16.3%

Away win 19.6% 40.0% 2.50 -30.6%

Over 2.5 67.2% 71.4% 1.40 -5.9%

Over 3.5 44.1% 52.9% 1.89 -16.7%

BTTS 62.4% 74.1% 1.35 -15.8%

Home O1.5 62.6% 59.5% 1.68 +5.2%

Away O1.5 38.4% 56.8% 1.76 -32.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.4%

H 59% / xG 2.4-1.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 3–1 7.6%

#5 3–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalvik.Reynir2.4

Fjolnir1.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DALVIK.REYNIR · PPG 2.60

FJOLNIR · PPG 0.75

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=59.0%

Win probability 1X2

Dalvik.Reynir (H) 59.0%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +32.8%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -16.3%

Fjolnir (A) 19.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -30.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalvik.Reynir face Fjolnir in Iceland on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalvik.Reynir a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Fjolnir 20%, so Dalvik.Reynir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Dalvik.Reynir and 1.2 for Fjolnir (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalvik.Reynir are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 0.75 for Fjolnir. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +41.4%.

Dalvik.Reynir vs Fjolnir Prediction— Iceland

Match Preview & Prediction

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