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Torrent vs Barbastro Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 10:00

Torrent

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Barbastro

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.2%0-112.8%0-25.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.9%1-113.3%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.3%2-17.0%2-22.9%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.9%3-12.4%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% 46.5% 2.15 -14.9%

Draw 31.7% 33.3% 3.00 -4.9%

Away win 28.7% 32.3% 3.10 -11.0%

Over 2.5 29.2% 46.5% 2.15 -37.2%

Over 3.5 12.3% — — —

BTTS 36.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob36.9%

H 40% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.9%

#2 0–0 15.2%

#3 1–1 13.3%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torrent1.0

Barbastro0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.2% · O3.5 PROB 12.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TORRENT · PPG 1.13

BARBASTRO · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Torrent (H) 39.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -14.9%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -4.9%

Barbastro (A) 28.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torrent face Barbastro in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torrent a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Barbastro 29%, so Torrent are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Torrent and 0.8 for Barbastro (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torrent are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.07 for Barbastro. This match finished 1-2.

Torrent vs Barbastro Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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