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Torrent vs Barbastro Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 32 Estadio San Gregorio· Torrent Sunday, April 19, 2026 10:00
Torrent logo Torrent PPG 1.13
1-2 MISS
Barbastro logo Barbastro PPG 1.07
Draw· -4.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Torrent face Barbastro in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torrent a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Barbastro 29%, so Torrent are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Torrent and 0.8 for Barbastro (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torrent are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.07 for Barbastro. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.6%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -14.9%
Draw 31.7%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -4.9%
Away 28.7%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -11.0%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 29.2% Odds: 2.15 -37.2%
Over 3.5 12.3% Odds: —
BTTS 36.9% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Torrent
1.04
Barbastro
0.84

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

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