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Olot vs FC Barcelona B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 16:00

Olot

PPG 1.87 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

FC Barcelona B

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-110.5%0-25.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.9%1-113.1%1-27.2%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.4%2-18.2%2-24.5%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.1%3-13.4%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% 32.3% 3.10 +22.8%

Draw 27.9% 34.5% 2.90 -19.1%

Away win 32.4% 45.5% 2.20 -28.7%

Over 2.5 41.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.6% 54.1% 1.85 -11.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.6%

H 40% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.1%

#2 1–0 11.9%

#3 0–1 10.5%

#4 0–0 9.5%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olot1.2

FC Barcelona B1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

OLOT · PPG 1.87

FC BARCELONA B · PPG 1.20

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.87) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Olot (H) 39.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +22.8%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -19.1%

FC Barcelona B (A) 32.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -28.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olot face FC Barcelona B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olot a 40% chance, the draw 28% and FC Barcelona B 32%, so Olot are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Olot and 1.1 for FC Barcelona B (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olot are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.20 for FC Barcelona B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +22.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Olot vs FC Barcelona B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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