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Andratx vs Alcoyano Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 10:00

Andratx

PPG 1.60 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Alcoyano

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.4%0-117.5%0-28.3%0-32.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.7%1-113.0%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.1%2-14.8%2-22.3%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.3%3-11.2%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.2% 24.4% 4.10 +11.5%

Draw 33.9% 30.8% 3.25 +10.2%

Away win 38.9% 57.1% 1.75 -31.9%

Over 2.5 24.1% 50.0% 2.00 -51.8%

Over 3.5 9.2% — — —

BTTS 32.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob32.1%

A 39% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 18.4%

#2 0–1 17.5%

#3 1–0 13.7%

#4 1–1 13.0%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Andratx0.7

Alcoyano1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 24.1% · O3.5 PROB 9.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ANDRATX · PPG 1.60

ALCOYANO · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Andratx (H) 27.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +11.5%

Draw 33.9%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +10.2%

Alcoyano (A) 38.9%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -31.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Andratx face Alcoyano in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Andratx a 27% chance, the draw 34% and Alcoyano 39%, so Alcoyano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Andratx and 1.0 for Alcoyano (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Andratx are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.33 for Alcoyano. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Andratx vs Alcoyano Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

More Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Predictions