Andratx vs Alcoyano Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 32 Camp Municipal Sa Plana· Andratx Sunday, April 19, 2026 10:00

Andratx PPG 1.60

0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Alcoyano PPG 1.33

Home· +11.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Andratx face Alcoyano in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Andratx a 27% chance, the draw 34% and Alcoyano 39%, so Alcoyano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Andratx and 1.0 for Alcoyano (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Andratx are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.33 for Alcoyano. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.2%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +11.5%

Draw 33.9%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +10.2%

Away 38.9%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -31.9%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 24.1% Odds: 2.00 -51.8%

Over 3.5 9.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 32.1% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Andratx

0.74

Alcoyano

0.95

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 69%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 46%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away AVERAGE (1.33)