Alcoyano vs Sant Andreu Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 33 Estadio El Collao· Alcoy Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00

Alcoyano PPG 1.88

2-0 HIT CS5

Sant Andreu PPG 1.69

Away· +19.1% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Alcoyano face Sant Andreu in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alcoyano a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Sant Andreu 28%, so Alcoyano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Alcoyano and 0.7 for Sant Andreu (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alcoyano are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.69 for Sant Andreu. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.9%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -31.9%

Draw 33.6%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +7.5%

Away 27.5%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +19.1%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.9% Odds: 2.25 -19.2%

Over 3.5 9.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 46.1% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Alcoyano

1.02

Sant Andreu

0.66

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 69%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 46%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.88), Away GOOD (1.69)