Atletic Lleida PPG 1.00
SD Ibiza PPG 0.63Atletic Lleida face SD Ibiza in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletic Lleida a 54% chance, the draw 24% and SD Ibiza 22%, so Atletic Lleida are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Atletic Lleida and 1.0 for SD Ibiza (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletic Lleida are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.63 for SD Ibiza. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +33.3%. This match finished 2-0.
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.63)