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Castellon B vs Valencia B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 32 Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Castellon B logo Castellon B PPG 1.40
0-4 MISS
Valencia B logo Valencia B PPG 0.73
Home· +62.4% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Castellon B face Valencia B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Castellon B a 66% chance, the draw 15% and Valencia B 18%, so Castellon B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Castellon B and 1.7 for Valencia B (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 87% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Castellon B are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.73 for Valencia B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +62.4%. This match finished 0-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.3%
Odds: 2.45 EV: +62.4%
Draw 15.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -52.6%
Away 18.4%
Odds: 2.50 EV: -54.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 87.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 72.7% Odds: —
BTTS 79.2% Odds: 1.44 +14.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-2
4th 2-2
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Castellon B
3.19
Valencia B
1.75

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5/Under 69%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.73)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org