Valencia B vs Espanyol B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 33 Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00

Valencia B PPG 1.69

3-0 MISS

Espanyol B PPG 1.25

Over2.5· -2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Valencia B face Espanyol B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Valencia B a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Espanyol B 25%, so Valencia B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Valencia B and 1.0 for Espanyol B (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Valencia B are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.25 for Espanyol B. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -12.0%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -9.4%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -11.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: 1.90 -2.0%

Over 3.5 29.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Valencia B

1.69

Espanyol B

1.03

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 69%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 46%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)