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Terrassa vs Poblense Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 10:00

Terrassa

PPG 1.73 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Poblense

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-114.8%0-26.4%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.4%1-113.3%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.0%2-16.0%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.8%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.4% 44.4% 2.25 -22.6%

Draw 33.3% 34.5% 2.90 -3.4%

Away win 32.3% 33.3% 3.00 -3.1%

Over 2.5 26.0% — — —

Over 3.5 10.3% — — —

BTTS 34.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob34.4%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 34%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.1%

#2 1–0 15.4%

#3 0–1 14.8%

#4 1–1 13.3%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Terrassa0.9

Poblense0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 26.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TERRASSA · PPG 1.73

POBLENSE · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Terrassa (H) 34.4%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -22.6%

Draw 33.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -3.4%

Poblense (A) 32.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Terrassa face Poblense in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Terrassa a 34% chance, the draw 33% and Poblense 32%, so Terrassa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Terrassa and 0.9 for Poblense (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Terrassa are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.33 for Poblense. This match finished 2-3.

Terrassa vs Poblense Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

More Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Predictions