Porreres vs A. Baleares Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 32 Campo de fútbol porreres· Porreres (Mallorca) Sunday, April 19, 2026 10:00

Porreres PPG 1.07

0-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

A. Baleares PPG 1.33

Home· +58.0% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Porreres face A. Baleares in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Porreres a 24% chance, the draw 29% and A. Baleares 47%, so A. Baleares are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Porreres and 1.3 for A. Baleares (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Porreres are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.33 for A. Baleares. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +58.0%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.3%

Odds: 6.50 EV: +58.0%

Draw 28.7%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +4.8%

Away 47.1%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -32.2%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.0% Odds: 2.00 -28.0%

Over 3.5 16.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 41.3% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✔

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Porreres

0.84

A. Baleares

1.29

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.33)