Espanyol B vs Girona B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Group 3 - 32 Ciutat Esportiva Dani Jarque· Sant Adrià de Besòs (San Adrián de Besós) Sunday, April 19, 2026 16:30

Espanyol B PPG 1.40

2-1 MISS

Girona B PPG 0.93

Home· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Espanyol B face Girona B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Espanyol B a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Girona B 26%, so Espanyol B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Espanyol B and 0.8 for Girona B (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Espanyol B are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.93 for Girona B. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.2%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -0.5%

Draw 30.1%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -15.7%

Away 25.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -20.3%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 32.7% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 14.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.1% Odds: 2.00 -21.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Espanyol B

1.18

Girona B

0.83

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.93)