Today / Argentina - Primera Nacional / Racing Cordoba vs Acassuso

Racing Cordoba vs Acassuso Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, July 12, 2026, 19:00

Racing Cordoba

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Acassuso

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 50.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-19.5%0-23.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.9%1-112.0%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.9%2-17.6%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.0%3-13.2%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.3% 63.7% 1.57 -21.0%

Draw 29.6% 31.3% 3.20 -3.2%

Away win 20.1% 15.2% 6.60 +19.6%

Over 2.5 38.3% 35.1% 2.85 +9.2%

Over 3.5 20.2% 16.7% 6.00 +12.7%

BTTS 48.0% 37.7% 2.65 +27.2%

Home O1.5 41.2% 47.6% 2.10 -13.5%

Away O1.5 20.1% 11.1% 9.00 +48.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 164 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -10.3%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.0%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.9%

#2 0–0 14.9%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Cordoba1.3

Acassuso0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 1.67

ACASSUSO · PPG 0.60

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=50.3%

Win probability 1X2

Racing Cordoba (H) 50.3%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -21.0%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.2%

Acassuso (A) 20.1%

ODDS 6.60 · IMPLIED 15.2% EV +19.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Cordoba face Acassuso in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Cordoba a 50% chance, the draw 30% and Acassuso 20%, so Racing Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Racing Cordoba and 0.6 for Acassuso (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Cordoba are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.60 for Acassuso. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +48.5%.

Racing Cordoba vs Acassuso Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera Nacional Predictions