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Racing Cordoba vs Acassuso Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, July 12, 2026, 19:00

Racing Cordoba

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDDW

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Acassuso

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLLD

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 50.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-19.5%0-23.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.9%1-112.0%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.9%2-17.6%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.0%3-13.2%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.3% 63.7% 1.57 -21.0%

Draw 29.6% 31.3% 3.20 -3.2%

Away win 20.1% 15.2% 6.60 +19.6%

Over 2.5 38.3% 35.1% 2.85 +9.2%

Over 3.5 20.2% 16.7% 6.00 +12.7%

BTTS 48.0% 37.7% 2.65 +27.2%

Home O1.5 41.2% 47.6% 2.10 -13.5%

Away O1.5 20.1% 11.1% 9.00 +48.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 293 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.0%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.9%

#2 0–0 14.9%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Cordoba1.3

Acassuso0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 1.67

ACASSUSO · PPG 0.60

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=50.3%

Win probability 1X2

Racing Cordoba (H) 50.3%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -21.0%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.2%

Acassuso (A) 20.1%

ODDS 6.60 · IMPLIED 15.2% EV +19.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Cordoba face Acassuso in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Cordoba a 50% chance, the draw 30% and Acassuso 20%, so Racing Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Racing Cordoba and 0.6 for Acassuso (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Cordoba are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.60 for Acassuso. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +48.5%. This match finished 3-2.

Racing Cordoba vs Acassuso Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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