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All Boys vs Chaco For Ever Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 18:30

All Boys

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Chaco For Ever

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.1%0-111.8%0-23.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.1%1-111.7%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.5%2-15.9%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.5%3-11.9%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% 42.9% 2.33 +1.4%

Draw 32.3% 37.0% 2.70 -12.8%

Away win 24.2% 30.3% 3.30 -12.1%

Over 2.5 34.2% 32.3% 3.10 +6.0%

Over 3.5 14.8% 14.3% 7.00 +2.2%

BTTS 42.6% 42.6% 2.35 +0.1%

Home O1.5 30.9% 32.3% 3.10 -4.2%

Away O1.5 15.1% 23.8% 4.20 -21.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 293 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob42.6%

H 44% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 21.1%

#2 1–0 21.1%

#3 0–1 11.8%

#4 1–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

All Boys1.0

Chaco For Ever0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ALL BOYS · PPG 1.62

CHACO FOR EVER · PPG 0.69

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.44, combined xG 1.56 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

All Boys (H) 43.5%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +1.4%

Draw 32.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -12.8%

Chaco For Ever (A) 24.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -12.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

All Boys face Chaco For Ever in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives All Boys a 44% chance, the draw 32% and Chaco For Ever 24%, so All Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for All Boys and 0.6 for Chaco For Ever (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, All Boys are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.69 for Chaco For Ever. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.0%. This match finished 0-0.

All Boys vs Chaco For Ever Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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