Today / Argentina - Primera Nacional / Godoy Cruz vs San Telmo

Godoy Cruz vs San Telmo Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 21:00

Godoy Cruz

PPG 2.15 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWLW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

San Telmo

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDWL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-15.8%0-21.6%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.5%1-19.9%1-22.8%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.0%2-18.5%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.6%3-14.9%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-13.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% 66.7% 1.50 -16.9%

Draw 23.3% 28.6% 3.50 -11.1%

Away win 21.3% 14.7% 6.80 +26.9%

Over 2.5 50.5% 44.4% 2.25 +13.6%

Over 3.5 28.7% 23.8% 4.20 +12.3%

BTTS 47.2% 44.4% 2.25 +6.2%

Home O1.5 48.9% 54.6% 1.83 -10.5%

Away O1.5 15.3% 17.4% 5.75 -7.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 293 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.2%

H 55% / xG 1.7-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.5%

#2 2–0 15.0%

#3 0–0 10.2%

#4 1–1 9.9%

#5 0–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Godoy Cruz1.7

San Telmo0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GODOY CRUZ · PPG 2.15

SAN TELMO · PPG 0.69

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.15 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Godoy Cruz (H) 55.4%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -16.9%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -11.1%

San Telmo (A) 21.3%

ODDS 6.80 · IMPLIED 14.7% EV +26.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Godoy Cruz face San Telmo in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Godoy Cruz a 55% chance, the draw 23% and San Telmo 21%, so Godoy Cruz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Godoy Cruz and 0.6 for San Telmo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Godoy Cruz are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 0.69 for San Telmo. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +14.1%. This match finished 3-0.

Godoy Cruz vs San Telmo Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera Nacional Predictions