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Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 20:00

Racing Cordoba

PPG 1.92 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDDW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Colon Santa Fe

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-111.7%0-25.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.5%1-113.4%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.3%2-17.6%2-23.5%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.1%3-12.9%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.3% 32.3% 3.10 +24.9%

Draw 29.2% 37.7% 2.65 -13.6%

Away win 30.5% 40.0% 2.50 -23.8%

Over 2.5 43.1% 33.9% 2.95 +27.1%

Over 3.5 20.7% 15.4% 6.50 +20.7%

BTTS 47.2% 44.4% 2.25 +6.2%

Home O1.5 31.1% 27.0% 3.70 +15.1%

Away O1.5 25.7% 32.3% 3.10 -12.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 294 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.2%

D 29% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 1–0✓ 14.5%

#3 0–0 12.7%

#4 0–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Cordoba1.1

Colon Santa Fe0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 1.92

COLON SANTA FE · PPG 1.31

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 2.07 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Racing Cordoba (H) 40.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +24.9%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -13.6%

Colon Santa Fe (A) 30.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -23.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Cordoba face Colon Santa Fe in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Cordoba a 40% chance, the draw 29% and Colon Santa Fe 31%, so Racing Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Racing Cordoba and 0.9 for Colon Santa Fe (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Cordoba are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.31 for Colon Santa Fe. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +54.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Racing Cordoba vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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