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Agropecuario vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, July 12, 2026, 19:00

Agropecuario

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Temperley

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.5%0-116.1%0-27.1%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.0%1-113.2%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.1%2-15.4%2-22.3%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.7%3-11.5%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% 38.5% 2.60 -16.0%

Draw 31.7% 37.0% 2.70 -14.4%

Away win 36.0% 33.9% 2.95 +6.2%

Over 2.5 38.3% 38.2% 2.62 +0.4%

Over 3.5 19.1% 15.4% 6.50 +14.5%

BTTS 46.4% 47.6% 2.10 -2.6%

Home O1.5 33.3% 37.0% 2.70 -10.1%

Away O1.5 23.3% 27.4% 3.65 -9.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 164 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -10.3%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob46.4%

D 32% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.5%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.1%

#4 1–0 15.0%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Agropecuario0.8

Temperley0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AGROPECUARIO · PPG 1.33

TEMPERLEY · PPG 1.20

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Agropecuario (H) 32.3%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -16.0%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -14.4%

Temperley (A) 36.0%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Agropecuario face Temperley in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Agropecuario a 32% chance, the draw 32% and Temperley 36%, so Temperley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Agropecuario and 0.9 for Temperley (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Agropecuario are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.20 for Temperley. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.5%.

Agropecuario vs Temperley Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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