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Epitsentr U19 vs Karpaty U19 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:30

Epitsentr U19

PPG 0.45 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Karpaty U19

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 70.7% vs bookmaker-implied 45.5% — a clear edge.

+55.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-16.8%0-28.8%0-37.6%0-4+9.3%1 1-02.7%1-17.1%1-29.2%1-38.0%1-4+9.7%2 2-01.4%2-13.7%2-24.8%2-34.2%2-4+5.1%3 3-00.5%3-11.3%3-21.7%3-31.5%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.0% 32.3% 3.10 -59.7%

Draw 16.3% 31.3% 3.20 -47.8%

Away win 70.7% 45.5% 2.20 +55.5%

Over 2.5 70.6% 50.0% 2.00 +41.2%

Over 3.5 49.5% 28.2% 3.55 +75.7%

BTTS 60.1% 57.8% 1.73 +4.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 11.4%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob60.1%

A 71% / xG 1.0-2.6 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.2%

#2 0–2 8.8%

#3 1–3 8.0%

#4 0–3 7.6%

#5 1–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Epitsentr U191.0

Karpaty U192.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.6% · O3.5 PROB 49.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EPITSENTR U19 · PPG 0.45

KARPATY U19 · PPG 1.45

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.45) vs Home POOR (0.45)

Win probability 1X2

Epitsentr U19 (H) 13.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -59.7%

Draw 16.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -47.8%

Karpaty U19 (A) 70.7%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +55.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Epitsentr U19 face Karpaty U19 in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Epitsentr U19 a 13% chance, the draw 16% and Karpaty U19 71%, so Karpaty U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Epitsentr U19 and 2.6 for Karpaty U19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Epitsentr U19 are averaging 0.45 points per game versus 1.45 for Karpaty U19. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +75.7%. This match finished 0-0.

Epitsentr U19 vs Karpaty U19 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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