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Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Bukovyna Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:00

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

PPG 1.26 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDW ·

UPCOMING

Bukovyna

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLW ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-110.3%0-24.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.8%1-113.1%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.8%2-18.3%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.7%3-13.5%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% 39.5% 2.53 +11.3%

Draw 27.3% 30.9% 3.24 -6.9%

Away win 28.6% 37.5% 2.67 -14.2%

Over 2.5 44.5% 48.1% 2.08 -7.4%

Over 3.5 25.5% 28.6% 3.50 -6.5%

BTTS 49.9% 55.6% 1.80 -10.2%

Home O1.5 38.4% 41.3% 2.42 -7.1%

Away O1.5 26.1% 39.5% 2.53 -20.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.9%

H 44% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 13.8%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.3

Bukovyna0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EPITSENTR DUNAYIVTSI · PPG 1.26

BUKOVYNA · PPG 1.25

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

50%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.32, combined xG 2.22 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (H) 44.0%

ODDS 2.53 · IMPLIED 39.5% EV +11.3%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.24 · IMPLIED 30.9% EV -6.9%

Bukovyna (A) 28.6%

ODDS 2.67 · IMPLIED 37.5% EV -14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi face Bukovyna in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Bukovyna 29%, so Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and 0.9 for Bukovyna (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are averaging 1.26 points per game versus 1.25 for Bukovyna. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +2.2%.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Bukovyna Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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