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Dynamo Kyiv vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 10:00

Dynamo Kyiv

PPG 1.98 · HOME

LAST 5

WWL ··

UPCOMING

LNZ Cherkasy

PPG 1.51 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS 54% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-19.7%0-25.2%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.2%1-112.9%1-26.8%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.1%2-18.6%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.6%3-13.8%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% 50.0% 2.00 -11.2%

Draw 26.5% 32.3% 3.10 -10.7%

Away win 29.2% 27.8% 3.60 +3.1%

Over 2.5 50.4% 48.1% 2.08 +4.8%

Over 3.5 28.7% 26.7% 3.75 +4.6%

BTTS 52.9% 54.1% 1.85 -2.1%

Home O1.5 38.7% 45.5% 2.20 -14.9%

Away O1.5 32.5% 28.6% 3.50 +13.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.9%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 12.2%

#3 0–0 9.2%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dynamo Kyiv1.3

LNZ Cherkasy1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DYNAMO KYIV · PPG 1.98

LNZ CHERKASY · PPG 1.51

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

54%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.27, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dynamo Kyiv (H) 44.4%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -11.2%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -10.7%

LNZ Cherkasy (A) 29.2%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dynamo Kyiv face LNZ Cherkasy in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dynamo Kyiv a 44% chance, the draw 27% and LNZ Cherkasy 29%, so Dynamo Kyiv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dynamo Kyiv and 1.1 for LNZ Cherkasy (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dynamo Kyiv are averaging 1.98 points per game versus 1.51 for LNZ Cherkasy. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +18.8%.

Dynamo Kyiv vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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