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DH Cebu vs Stallion Prediction— Philippines - PFL

Group Stage ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 09:00

DH Cebu

PPG 2.38 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Stallion

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.8%0-25.8%0-34.7%0-4+5.1%1 1-03.0%1-17.2%1-28.7%1-37.0%1-4+7.6%2 2-02.2%2-15.4%2-26.5%2-35.3%2-4+5.7%3 3-01.1%3-12.7%3-23.3%3-32.6%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.4%4+-21.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.9% — — —

Draw 19.0% — — —

Away win 58.1% — — —

Over 2.5 75.0% — — —

Over 3.5 55.1% — — —

BTTS 70.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob70.7%

A 58% / xG 1.5-2.4 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.7%

#2 1–1✓ 7.2%

#3 1–3 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DH Cebu1.5

Stallion2.4

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.0% · O3.5 PROB 55.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DH CEBU · PPG 2.38

STALLION · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.38) > Away GOOD (1.89)

Win probability 1X2

DH Cebu (H) 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stallion (A) 58.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

DH Cebu face Stallion in Philippines - PFL on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DH Cebu a 23% chance, the draw 19% and Stallion 58%, so Stallion are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for DH Cebu and 2.4 for Stallion (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DH Cebu are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 1.89 for Stallion. This match finished 1-1.

DH Cebu vs Stallion Prediction— Philippines - PFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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