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Philippines - PFL logo Philippines flag Philippines - PFL Group Stage Saturday, May 23, 2026 13:00
DH Cebu logo DH Cebu PPG 1.91
0-1 MISS
Davao Aguilas logo Davao Aguilas PPG 1.18
Over3.5· +53.2% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.3%
Odds: 1.44 EV: -14.6%
Draw 20.3%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -7.3%
Away 20.4%
Odds: 5.25 EV: +4.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.6% Odds: 1.53 +11.1%
Over 3.5 67.5% Odds: 2.27 +53.2%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.66 +4.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-2
4th 2-2
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

DH Cebu
3.05
Davao Aguilas
1.56

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +11.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+53.2%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.91) > Away AVERAGE (1.18)

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