Today / Philippines - PFL / Mendiola vs Tuloy FC

Mendiola vs Tuloy FC Prediction— Philippines - PFL

Group Stage ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 08:00

Mendiola

PPG 0.55 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Tuloy FC

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.55), Away POOR (0.64)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.1%0-20.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-00.1%1-10.5%1-21.0%1-31.2%1-4+3.3%2 2-00.3%2-11.0%2-22.0%2-32.6%2-4+7.0%3 3-00.4%3-11.5%3-22.9%3-33.7%3-4+9.9%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-14.9%4+-29.5%4+-312.3%4+-4+33.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.2% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 34.3% — — —

Over 2.5 90.7% — — —

Over 3.5 96.1% — — —

BTTS 100.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)4.2 xG (away)3.9 BTTS prob100.0%

H 45% / xG 4.2-3.9 / O2.5 91% / BTTS 100%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–3 3.9%

#2 4–4 3.8%

#3 3–3 3.7%

#4 3–4 3.6%

#5 5–3 3.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mendiola4.2

Tuloy FC3.9

COMBINED 8.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 90.7% · O3.5 PROB 96.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MENDIOLA · PPG 0.55

TULOY FC · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.55), Away POOR (0.64)

Win probability 1X2

Mendiola (H) 45.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tuloy FC (A) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mendiola face Tuloy FC in Philippines - PFL on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mendiola a 45% chance, the draw 20% and Tuloy FC 34%, so Mendiola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Mendiola and 3.9 for Tuloy FC (8.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-3. There is a 91% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 100% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mendiola are averaging 0.55 points per game versus 0.64 for Tuloy FC. This match finished 1-4.

Mendiola vs Tuloy FC Prediction— Philippines - PFL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Philippines - PFL Predictions