Today / Australia / Sorrento vs Fremantle City
Sorrento vs Fremantle City Prediction— Australia
Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 11, 2026, 07:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 55% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%
Form & verdict
SORRENTO · PPG 0.78
FREMANTLE CITY · PPG 1.00
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.78), Away AVERAGE (1.00)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Sorrento face Fremantle City in Australia on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sorrento a 24% chance, the draw 21% and Fremantle City 55%, so Fremantle City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sorrento and 1.9 for Fremantle City (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sorrento are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 1.00 for Fremantle City.