Today / Australia - NPL Northern NSW / Cooks Hill Utd vs Charlestown A.
Cooks Hill Utd vs Charlestown A. Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW
Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 11, 2026, 06:30
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.1% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 61% / xG 2.8-1.5 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.1% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%
Form & verdict
COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 1.50
CHARLESTOWN A. · PPG 0.88
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.88)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Cooks Hill Utd face Charlestown A. in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cooks Hill Utd a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Charlestown A. 20%, so Cooks Hill Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Cooks Hill Utd and 1.5 for Charlestown A. (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cooks Hill Utd are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.88 for Charlestown A.. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +32.6%.