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Bray Wanderers vs UC Dublin Prediction— Ireland

Regular Season - 23 ·Friday, July 10, 2026, 18:45

Bray Wanderers

PPG 2.27 · HOME

UPCOMING

UC Dublin

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.4% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.6%0-23.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.7%1-110.3%1-26.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.1%2-19.4%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.3%3-15.8%3-23.9%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-14.0%4+-22.7%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 46.3% 2.16 +5.4%

Draw 23.9% 26.7% 3.75 -6.2%

Away win 27.3% 34.0% 2.94 -11.8%

Over 2.5 61.7% 63.7% 1.57 -3.1%

Over 3.5 39.9% 41.7% 2.40 -4.2%

BTTS 62.4% 67.6% 1.48 -7.6%

Home O1.5 54.8% 55.6% 1.80 -1.4%

Away O1.5 38.4% 46.5% 2.15 -17.4%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.4%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.9%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bray Wanderers1.8

UC Dublin1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAY WANDERERS · PPG 2.27

UC DUBLIN · PPG 1.27

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.27) vs P(Home)=48.8%

Win probability 1X2

Bray Wanderers (H) 48.8%

ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV +5.4%

Draw 23.9%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -6.2%

UC Dublin (A) 27.3%

ODDS 2.94 · IMPLIED 34.0% EV -11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bray Wanderers face UC Dublin in Ireland on Friday, July 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bray Wanderers a 49% chance, the draw 24% and UC Dublin 27%, so Bray Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bray Wanderers and 1.3 for UC Dublin (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bray Wanderers are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.27 for UC Dublin. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.4%.

Bray Wanderers vs UC Dublin Prediction— Ireland

Match Preview & Prediction

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