Today / Philippines - PFL / Mendiola vs Kaya FC

Mendiola vs Kaya FC Prediction— Philippines - PFL

Group Stage ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 08:00

Mendiola logo
Mendiola
PPG 0.00 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Kaya FC logo
Kaya FC
PPG 1.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.0%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+84.8%1 1-00.0%1-10.0%1-20.0%1-30.0%1-4+13.9%2 2-00.0%2-10.0%2-20.0%2-30.0%2-4+1.1%3 3-00.0%3-10.0%3-20.0%3-30.0%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 0.0%
Draw 0.0%
Away win 100.0%
Over 2.5 100.0%
Over 3.5 100.0%
BTTS 15.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 63%
BTTS 67%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -19.8%
Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 70%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)0.2 xG (away)14.1 BTTS prob15.1%

A 100% / xG 0.2-14.1 / O2.5 100% / NoBTTS 15%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–5 0.3%
#2 0–4 0.1%
#3 1–5 0.0%
#4 0–3 0.0%
#5 1–4 0.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mendiola0.2
Kaya FC14.1

COMBINED 14.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 100.0% · O3.5 PROB 100.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MENDIOLA · PPG 0.00

KAYA FC · PPG 1.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Mendiola (H) 0.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 0.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Kaya FC (A) 100.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mendiola face Kaya FC in Philippines - PFL on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mendiola a 0% chance, the draw 0% and Kaya FC 100%, so Kaya FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.2 for Mendiola and 14.1 for Kaya FC (14.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-5. There is a 100% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 15% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mendiola are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.78 for Kaya FC. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

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18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org