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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 11 Lambert Park· Sydney Sunday, April 19, 2026 06:30
APIA Leichhardt logo APIA Leichhardt PPG 3.00
4-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Sydney Olympic logo Sydney Olympic PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +38.4% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 87.0%
Odds: 1.17 EV: +1.8%
Draw 7.8%
Odds: 5.80 EV: -54.8%
Away 5.2%
Odds: 13.00 EV: -32.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 88.7% Odds: 1.33 +18.0%
Over 3.5 75.6% Odds: 1.83 +38.4%
BTTS 65.1% Odds: 1.77 +15.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 4-0
4th 3-0
5th 5-1

Expected Goals (xG)

APIA Leichhardt
4.07
Sydney Olympic
1.08

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +18.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+38.4%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

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