Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Australia - New South Wales NPL
Regular Season - 11
Lambert Park· Sydney
Sunday, April 19, 2026
06:30
APIA Leichhardt
PPG 3.00
4-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Sydney Olympic
PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +38.4%
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
87.0%
Odds: 1.17
EV: +1.8%
Draw
7.8%
Odds: 5.80
EV: -54.8%
Away
5.2%
Odds: 13.00
EV: -32.4%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
88.7%
Odds: 1.33
+18.0%
Over 3.5
75.6%
Odds: 1.83
+38.4%
BTTS
65.1%
Odds: 1.77
+15.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
4-1
✔
2nd
3-1
✘
3rd
4-0
✘
4th
3-0
✘
5th
5-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
APIA Leichhardt
4.07
Sydney Olympic
1.08
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+18.0%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+38.4%)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus