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Canterbury Bankstown vs Macarthur Rams Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 30 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 07:00

Canterbury Bankstown

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWWW

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Macarthur Rams

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.0% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.8%0-24.8%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.7%1-111.0%1-27.8%1-33.7%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.3%2-18.9%2-26.3%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.4%3-14.8%3-23.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.8%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% 47.6% 2.10 -9.5%

Draw 22.9% 30.8% 3.25 -15.3%

Away win 34.0% 34.5% 2.90 -1.4%

Over 2.5 62.0% 66.7% 1.50 -7.0%

Over 3.5 39.3% 43.5% 2.30 -9.6%

BTTS 61.4% 69.4% 1.44 -11.6%

Home O1.5 48.9% 54.9% 1.82 -11.0%

Away O1.5 40.9% 46.5% 2.15 -12.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 55.2%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.4%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canterbury Bankstown1.6

Macarthur Rams1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CANTERBURY BANKSTOWN · PPG 1.64

MACARTHUR RAMS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Canterbury Bankstown (H) 43.1%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -9.5%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -15.3%

Macarthur Rams (A) 34.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -1.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Canterbury Bankstown face Macarthur Rams in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canterbury Bankstown a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Macarthur Rams 34%, so Canterbury Bankstown are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Canterbury Bankstown and 1.4 for Macarthur Rams (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canterbury Bankstown are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 2.00 for Macarthur Rams. This match finished 3-2.

Canterbury Bankstown vs Macarthur Rams Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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